Review of the models (strategies) - Austria Bundesliga and Erste Liga

After almost one year of "blog silence" I decided to post once again.
The decision to stick to trend plays was one of my best decisions connected with sport betting..
There is no "feelings" involved once placing bets and it's a huge progress for me (try it and you will have no regrets :) ).
Bad streaks happens, but good ones occurs also.
Don't chase and don't feel bad about losing days - your discipline will pay off.
The bad thing is you already knew it, but most of you still have no discipline.

As already described in my previous posts - I play the closing line (my bot make the play one minute before kick-off if the numbers (odds) suite the strategy..
The strategy based on previous season results (in soccer it's last 9 seasons)..

Every season have his bad and good streaks, so once choosing a strategy I keep in mind what were the maximum DDs (drawdowns) in previous seasons.. My decision is once a new max drawdown occurs - the plays for the specific strategy are stopped till the end of the season..
It's a conservative way to do things (and at the end of the season I'll check if this decision won or lost money), but I hardly believe this decision will be changed.

Starting from mid July 2019 there were 1762 plays (53 strategies involved right now and 3 more were stopped during the season).

Units Won 82.73 (playing 1 unit for play) - ROI = 4.70%

Below is the description (of what I can give away 😀 ) of 3 strategies and more to come... 

Strategy 1 (Austria Bundesliga - (away wins)).

Starting from the 2010-11 season, betting on visitors once they play not a very big favorites - was very profitable..
With an average of around 35 plays per season - this strategy made 88.27 units in the period (ROI = 28%) and had only one losing season..
Right now, after 12 plays it's down 1.31 units, but there is still a lot of matches to come after the winter break.
The MAX DD of the previous seasons was around 9 units..

Strategy 2 (Austria Bundesliga - (draws)).

The big favorites are overrated (home and away), so betting on draw in such a scenario is not a bad idea at all. Here the 2017-18 season was the only losing one..
Right now, the system is up 8.20 units (after 31 plays).








Strategy 3 (Austria Erste Liga - (away wins)).

The dogs are underrated in the second league of Austrian football.
In the 2019-20 season - after 40 plays - this system is 16.51 units up!

Happy New Year and See Ya :)