From the start of 2018-19 season 436 picks fit my model (I don't include here the strategy that I copied from 3rd party site).
I started to make my wagers on September 14, so missed a huge part of it (but it's doesn't matter now). Here is the data:
My model was build on the last 8 seasons (from 2010-11 to 2017-18).
The 10.6% ROI and 46.08 units in current season looks like a good sign for the model, but how it doing comparing to seasons 2010-11 - 2017-18?
Here what I found:
Only in 2014-2015 there were fewer units than 46.08 after 436 plays (finished 7th from 8 on ROI).
Season 2011-12 had 152.78 units (best result after 436 plays), but at the end of the season finished last on ROI.
The average odds are an important factor in this data (I ignore it here).
The average odds for the winning plays in the current season are 2.52, while the average odds for the loosing plays are 3.07, so obvious it's important.
See Ya :)
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